Friday, July 13, 2012

EGYPT'S PROBLEMS ESCALATE



In Egypt, President Morsi's government has decided to link the prices of medicines sold locally to the prices of those sold abroad.

This is an indication that Morsi is on the side of the big corporations.

The Health Ministry's decision to tie medicine prices to international prices goes against the Mubarak policy of helping the poor.

The Mubarak government decreed that medicine prices were to be based on the cost of production, regardless of prices abroad.

Sabbahi: Raising medicine prices shows Morsy's social bias

 

The Arab Spring has frightened away tourists, frightened away investors and wrecked economic growth.

Analysis - As Egypt leaders feud, economy heads toward cliff

Egypt's foreign reserves are now well below half the level they were in January 2011.

The Egyptian government has to pay an 'unsustainable' 16 percent on money it borrows (one-year treasury bills)

President Mursi, aka Morsi, will have to  introduce austerity measures, before the IMF will lend him any money.

The enemy within?

Under Mubarak, money poured into Egypt and provided growth and jobs.

"Egypt was held up as the model for the Middle East - recognized as the Top Reformer for the region by the World Bank for three years in a row from 2006 to 2008. Indeed, in 2008, the country was awarded the World’s Top Reformer by the World Bank and the International Finance Corporation." (With Europe in crisis, Egypt must reverse course‎)

Under Mubarak, economic growth reached 7 percent

Now, economic growth is around 1 percent, far below the level needed to create jobs.



Will Israel try to grab the Sinai from Egypt?

The next Middle East war

"Sinai has been witnessing a steady decline in law and order since the January 25 revolution. 

"Hamas is believed to have infiltrated Gaza's borders with Egypt to smuggle weapons into the beleaguered strip. 

"There are signs that Al Qaeda is also active in the desert peninsula. 

"On the eve of the second round of presidential elections, a rocket was fired from Sinai into Israeli territory. Israel accused Hamas of ordering the attack at the request of Egypt's Muslim Brotherhood...



"The Muslim Brotherhood's stance on the Arab-Israeli conflict is clear, at least to millions of their followers across the region. 

"It does not recognise Israel and supports holy war to liberate Jerusalem and the occupied territories, which encompass all of historical Palestine.

"This is one of the main reasons why the ruling Supreme Council of the Armed Forces (SCAF) in Egypt issued a supplementary constitutional proclamation on the eve of the presidential elections. It decreed that all matters relating to the armed forces will reside with SCAF and not with the newly elected president. Furthermore, while the president has the right to declare war, he can only do so with the consent of SCAF...

"Since the collapse of the Libyan regime, huge caches of weapons have found their way from Libya into the Sinai Peninsula. 

"For Israel, the fact that Hamas has now access to new armaments represents a huge security challenge. It is a situation that neither Israel nor Egypt can control." 

Israel "may decide to carry out a preemptive strike against Hamas and loyal cells deep within Sinai." 

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

http://www.roytov.com/articles/olmertlebanon.htm

http://uruknet.info/?p=m89507&hd=&size=1&l=e

http://uruknet.info/?p=m89510&hd=&size=1&l=e

http://www.presstv.ir/detail/2012/07/12/250623/us-troops-mutilated-sanaa-bomber/

Anonymous said...

KSA has been funding Egypt since the Spring with various iterations of bridge loans pending an IMF deal. Recall KSA said they would step into any void the US left if it pulled foreign aid. It was/is alleged that that KSA was shaken by the ease with which the US disposed of Mubarak. Makes sense.

About the same time KSA ForMin penned a harsh editorial in the WaPo for maximum effect re the Palestinian situation saying it was time to move beyond the US.

There is a complicated dance going on between the US and Saudi Arabia.

If you go back to 2006/7/8 when the GCC was talking currency convergence Gates and Condaleeza made a number of visits around the time of the GC meetings (Sept I believe).

http://articles.cnn.com/2007-07-30/politics/mideast.USarms_1_rice-and-gates-state-condoleezza-rice-military-aid?_s=PM:POLITICS

Ms. Rice and Mr. Gates arrived in Saudi Arabia on Tuesday night in an unusual joint visit for talks with King Abdullah and other senior officials, on a proposed arms package the Bush administration is offering the Saudis, the Israeli-Palestinian peace efforts and stabilizing Iraq. After the meeting on Wednesday morning, Mr. Gates flew on to Kuwait for meetings with officials there while Ms. Rice continued on to Jerusalem.

http://www.nytimes.com/2007/08/02/world/middleeast/02diplo.html

And then in Sept it was announced the GCC was being shelved...

The governor of the Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency (SAMA) said Saturday GCC countries were unlikely to launch a single currency by 2010. Hamad Al-Syari said “new exceptional developments” in the region would make it difficult to meet the 2010 deadline Kuwaiti news agency KUNA reported. The GCC union ewas schedule to come into effect 2010. That would be an oil backed dollar in effect...

http://www.arabianbusiness.com/property/article/499634-gcc-likely-to-miss-currency-deadline

http://blog.euromonitor.com/2010/05/gcc-currency-plans-delayed.html

http://www.thenational.ae/business/economy/gcc-meeting-to-jumpstart-monetary-union

In the second link it highlights Om
an pulling out. Oman being a strong supporter of the US and hosting several air force bases. UAE later joined them. They have been receiving a lot of US weaponry lately

http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/facility/thumrait.htm

So an unusual meeting of both Rice and Gates flies off in Aug-07 meets Saudi officials, offers arms and a month later the oil backed dollar proposal dissolves.

Then in Jun 2008 TreasSec Paulson heads to Saudi as rumors of Saudi revaluation and depeg lingered in market

http://archives.dawn.com/2008/06/09/ebr15.htm

Sunni vs. Shiite one thing, free flow of oil and petrodollar recycling is however paramount.

There are ongoing rumors that the kingdom is already factionalized with the recent crown prince's passing. He was a hard liner. IF you think the Spring makes its logical end in Saudi, you need decent. Nayef was quoted as saying he would use an iron fist. He wasn't a reformer....

 
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